
The Aggregate Bubble
The Anatomy of Speculative Bubbles: How They Form and Historical Patterns of Market Mania & Macroeconomic Trends
A Summary Of My Findings
Over the past three years, I have dedicated myself to researching and understanding macroeconomics, with a particular focus on the forces that lead to speculative bubbles, recessions, and market crashes. Through this extensive study, I have concluded that, contrary to popular belief, the economy and financial markets do not operate in a random or chaotic manner. Instead, they follow predictable cycles. These cycles, I believe, can be forecasted because the underlying driver of markets is human emotion, which, throughout history, has proven to be consistently repetitive. My thesis comprises of 5 factors that explains how you assess market cycles.